Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 2, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio do Restelo

Belenenses
2 - 0
Portimonense

Safira (11' pen.), Nuno (90+4')
Phete (32'), Sandro (75'), Baraye (75'), Calila (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Possignolo (8'), Pedrao (42'), Junior (90')
Willyan (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 48.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.32%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Belenenses would win this match.

Result
Belenenses	Draw	Portimonense
25.29%	26.47%	48.24%

Both teams to score 47.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.85%

56.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.79%

77.21%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.3%

37.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.52%

74.48%

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.69%

23.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.74%

57.26%

Score Analysis

Belenenses 25.29%

Portimonense 48.23%

Draw 26.47%

Belenenses	Draw	Portimonense
1-0 @ 8.57% 2-1 @ 6.09% 2-0 @ 4.18% 3-1 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.44% 3-0 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.66% Total : 25.29%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 8.79% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.47%	0-1 @ 12.79% 0-2 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 9.09% 0-3 @ 4.52% 1-3 @ 4.41% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-4 @ 1.65% 1-4 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.69% Total : 48.23%