| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | -26 | 28 |
| 18 | Belenenses | 34 | -32 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Boavista | 34 | -13 | 38 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 47.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 25.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belenenses | Draw | Boavista |
| 25.38% | 26.82% | 47.79% |
| Both teams to score 46.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.65% | 57.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.82% | 78.17% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.71% | 38.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.96% | 75.04% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.96% | 24.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.69% | 58.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Belenenses | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 8.84% 2-1 @ 6.05% 2-0 @ 4.24% 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-2 @ 1.38% 3-0 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.58% Total : 25.38% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 9.2% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 13.12% 0-2 @ 9.35% 1-2 @ 8.98% 0-3 @ 4.44% 1-3 @ 4.27% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-4 @ 1.58% 1-4 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.49% Total : 47.8% |