Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20

Feb 2, 2022 at 8.45pm UK

Estádio do Restelo

Belenenses
1 - 4
Sporting Lisbon

Camara (21')
Safira (36'), Lukovic (41'), Sousa (67'), Tavares (72'), Carraca (90')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Paulinho (11', 47'), Porro (17'), Sarabia (45+2')
Neto (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 79.85%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 6.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.26%) and 0-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.3%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (2.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Belenenses	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
6.89%	13.26%	79.85%

Both teams to score 45.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.06%

34.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.07%

56.93%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.83%

51.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.54%

85.46%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.15%

6.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.78%

25.22%

Score Analysis

Belenenses 6.89%

Sporting Lisbon 79.84%

Draw 13.26%

Belenenses	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 2.35% 2-1 @ 2.11% Other @ 2.43% Total : 6.89%	1-1 @ 6.3% 0-0 @ 3.51% 2-2 @ 2.83% Other @ 0.63% Total : 13.26%	0-2 @ 12.6% 0-3 @ 11.26% 0-1 @ 9.4% 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-4 @ 7.55% 1-3 @ 7.55% 1-4 @ 5.06% 0-5 @ 4.05% 1-5 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-6 @ 1.81% 2-4 @ 1.69% 1-6 @ 1.21% 2-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.07% Total : 79.84%