Primeira Liga Gameweek 20
Belenenses
Feb 2, 2022 8.45pm
1
4
HT : 1 3
FT
Sporting Lisbon
  • Abel Camara 21' goal
  • Safira 36' yellowcard
  • Andrija Lukovic 41' yellowcard
  • Afonso Sousa 67' yellowcard
  • Yohan Tavares 72' yellowcard
  • Carraca 90' yellowcard
  • goal Paulinho 11'
  • goal Pedro Porro 17'
  • goal Pablo Sarabia 45'+2'
  • goal Paulinho 47'
  • yellowcard Luis Neto 79'

Belenenses vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Belenenses

All competitions
Last game
Jan 23, 2022 3.30pm
Maritimo 1 - 1 Belenenses
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Safira

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Jan 22, 2022 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 2 Braga
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Pablo Sarabia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 79.85%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 6.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.26%) and 0-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.3%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (2.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result

Belenenses 6.89%
Draw 13.26%
Sporting Lisbon 79.85%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.48%

Goals

Over 2.5 65.06%
Under 2.5 34.94%
Over 3.5 43.07%
Under 3.5 56.93%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5 48.83%
Under 0.5 51.17%
Over 1.5 14.54%
Under 1.5 85.46%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 93.15%
Under 0.5 6.85%
Over 1.5 74.78%
Under 1.5 25.22%

Score analysis

Belenenses 6.89%
Draw 13.26%
Sporting Lisbon 79.84%
Belenenses
1-0 @ 2.35%
2-1 @ 2.11%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 6.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.3%
0-0 @ 3.51%
2-2 @ 2.83%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 13.26%
Sporting Lisbon
0-2 @ 12.6%
0-3 @ 11.26%
0-1 @ 9.4%
1-2 @ 8.44%
0-4 @ 7.55%
1-3 @ 7.55%
1-4 @ 5.06%
0-5 @ 4.05%
1-5 @ 2.71%
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-6 @ 1.81%
2-4 @ 1.69%
1-6 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 79.84%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 3
Sporting Lisbon
Aug 21, 2021 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
Belenenses
  • Goncalo Inacio 7' goal
  • Joao Palhinha 48' goal
  • Pedro Porro 87' yellowcard
  • Daniel Braganca 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thibang Phete 46'
  • yellowcard Nilton Varela 84'
  • yellowcard Petit 87'
  • redcard Afonso Taira 89'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Sporting Lisbon
Apr 21, 2021 9.15pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Belenenses
  • Tiago Tomas 4' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Coates 83' goal
  • Jovane Cabral 90'+6' goal
  • goal Mateo Cassierra 13'
  • yellowcard Henrique 41'
  • goal Mateo Cassierra 54'
  • yellowcard Miguel Cardoso 81'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Silva 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Belenenses
Dec 27, 2020 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
Sporting Lisbon
  • Miguel Cardoso 14' goal
  • Tiago Esgaio 23' yellowcard
  • Miguel Cardoso 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Tomas Ribeiro 75' yellowcard
  • Tomas Ribeiro 77' redcard
  • goal Tiago Tomas 5'
  • yellowcard Antonio Adan 16'
  • goal Joao Mario 24'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Inacio 63'
  • yellowcard Luis Neto 82'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Belenenses
Jun 26, 2020 7.15pm
1
3
HT : 1 3
FT Estadio Nacional do Jamor
Sporting Lisbon
  • Lica 9' goal
  • Andre Santos 21' yellowcard
  • Sphephelo Sithole 34' yellowcard
  • Herve Koffi 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Dieguinho 84' yellowcard
  • goal Sebastian Coates 21'
  • goal Jovane Cabral 36'
  • goal Jovane Cabral 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Plata 80'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Sporting Lisbon
Nov 10, 2019 6.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade (Lisboa)
Belenenses
  • Fernandes Rodrigo 20' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Coates 43' yellowcard
  • Tiago Ilori 61' yellowcard
  • Renan Ribeiro 69' yellowcard
  • Luciano Vietto 74' goal
  • Luciano Vietto 81' goal
  • yellowcard Tomas Ribeiro 39'
  • yellowcard Lica 62'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Ribeiro 62'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
Belenenses
May 5, 2019 5.30pm
1
8
HT : 0 2
FT Estádio Nacional (Jamor, Oeiras)
Sporting Lisbon
  • Muriel 22' redcard
  • Lica 61' goal
  • Pierre Sagna 69' yellowcard
  • Matija Ljujic 87' yellowcard
  • goal Raphinha 10'
  • yellowcard Raphinha 32'
  • yellowcard Wendel 44'
  • goal Luiz Phellype 45'
  • goal Nemanja Gudelj 65'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 70'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 75'
  • goal Bas Dost 77'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 84'
  • goal Idrissa Doumbia 90'

Form Data

Maritimo 1 - 1 Belenenses
Belenenses 1 - 4 Porto
Famalicao 1 - 0 Belenenses
Belenenses 2 - 1 Arouca
Vizela 2 - 0 Belenenses
Rio Ave 1 - 1 Belenenses
Benfica 1 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 1 Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 2 Braga
Vizela 0 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Leca 0 - 4 Sporting Lisbon
Santa Clara 3 - 2 Sporting Lisbon