Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 66.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 13.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Belenenses |
| 66.03% | 20.37% | 13.6% |
| Both teams to score 46.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.42% | 47.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.22% | 69.78% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.44% | 13.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.35% | 40.64% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.94% | 46.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.23% | 81.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Belenenses |
| 1-0 @ 12.47% 2-0 @ 12.46% 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 8.31% 3-1 @ 6.44% 4-0 @ 4.15% 4-1 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.5% 5-0 @ 1.66% 5-1 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.62% Total : 66.01% | 1-1 @ 9.67% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 3.75% Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.37% | 0-1 @ 4.84% 1-2 @ 3.75% 0-2 @ 1.88% 1-3 @ 0.97% 2-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.2% Total : 13.6% |