Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 48.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Belenenses |
| 48.33% | 27.37% | 24.3% |
| Both teams to score 44.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.07% | 59.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.81% | 80.18% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.07% | 24.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.44% | 59.56% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.28% | 40.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.7% | 77.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Belenenses |
| 1-0 @ 14.09% 2-0 @ 9.79% 2-1 @ 8.8% 3-0 @ 4.53% 3-1 @ 4.08% 3-2 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-1 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.2% Total : 48.32% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 9.12% 1-2 @ 5.69% 0-2 @ 4.1% 1-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.23% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.28% Total : 24.3% |