| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Boavista | 34 | -13 | 38 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Porto | 34 | 64 | 91 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 64.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 14.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.21%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 14.8% | 20.24% | 64.96% |
| Both teams to score 50.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.49% | 44.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.12% | 66.88% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.59% | 42.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.21% | 78.79% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.07% | 12.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.63% | 39.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 4.7% 2-1 @ 4.13% 2-0 @ 2.02% 3-2 @ 1.21% 3-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.57% Total : 14.8% | 1-1 @ 9.62% 0-0 @ 5.48% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.92% Total : 20.24% | 0-2 @ 11.47% 0-1 @ 11.21% 1-2 @ 9.84% 0-3 @ 7.83% 1-3 @ 6.71% 0-4 @ 4% 1-4 @ 3.43% 2-3 @ 2.88% 0-5 @ 1.64% 2-4 @ 1.47% 1-5 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.05% Total : 64.95% |