| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Boavista | 34 | -13 | 38 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Porto | 34 | 64 | 91 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 17.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.89%) and 0-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Boavista win it was 2-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Porto |
| 17.03% | 20.15% | 62.82% |
| Both teams to score 55.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.26% | 39.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.9% | 62.09% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.36% | 36.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.57% | 73.42% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.91% | 12.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.38% | 37.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Porto |
| 2-1 @ 4.72% 1-0 @ 4.44% 2-0 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 1.67% 3-1 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.39% Total : 17.03% | 1-1 @ 9.39% 2-2 @ 4.98% 0-0 @ 4.43% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.15% | 1-2 @ 9.93% 0-2 @ 9.89% 0-1 @ 9.36% 1-3 @ 6.99% 0-3 @ 6.97% 1-4 @ 3.7% 0-4 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 3.51% 2-4 @ 1.86% 1-5 @ 1.56% 0-5 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.83% Total : 62.82% |