Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Boavista
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 20, 2022 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio do Bessa
Porto

Boavista
0 - 1
Porto


Porozo (17'), Garcia (19')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vieira (32')
Vitinha (14'), Mbemba (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tondela 2-2 Boavista
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 17.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.89%) and 0-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Boavista win it was 2-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
BoavistaDrawPorto
17.03%20.15%62.82%
Both teams to score 55.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.26%39.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.9%62.09%
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.36%36.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.57%73.42%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.91%12.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.38%37.61%
Score Analysis
    Boavista 17.03%
    Porto 62.82%
    Draw 20.15%
BoavistaDrawPorto
2-1 @ 4.72%
1-0 @ 4.44%
2-0 @ 2.23%
3-2 @ 1.67%
3-1 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 17.03%
1-1 @ 9.39%
2-2 @ 4.98%
0-0 @ 4.43%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.15%
1-2 @ 9.93%
0-2 @ 9.89%
0-1 @ 9.36%
1-3 @ 6.99%
0-3 @ 6.97%
1-4 @ 3.7%
0-4 @ 3.68%
2-3 @ 3.51%
2-4 @ 1.86%
1-5 @ 1.56%
0-5 @ 1.56%
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 62.82%

How you voted: Boavista vs Porto

Boavista
6.7%
Draw
0.0%
Porto
93.3%
30
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 5pm
Porto
4-1
Boavista
Diaz (21'), Evanilson (41', 47'), Loader (90+6')
Pepe (60'), Otavio (61'), Taremi (62'), Marcano (90')
Hamache (30')
Musa (26'), Sauer (38'), Gorre (57'), Perez (82')
Feb 13, 2021 8.30pm
Porto
2-2
Boavista
Taremi (54'), Oliveira (82' pen.)
Lopes (29'), Evanilson (90+4')
Porozo (8'), Elis (45+1')
Paulinho (18'), Cid (67'), Jardim (85'), Rami (90+7'), Perez (90+7')
Sep 26, 2020 9pm
Boavista
0-5
Porto

Santos (29')
Corona (47'), Oliveira (59'), Marega (67', 72'), Diaz (90+2')
Jun 23, 2020 9.15pm
Porto
4-0
Boavista
Marega (53', 84'), Telles (60' pen.), Oliveira (70' pen.)
Otavio (22'), Oliveira (34')

Paulinho (3'), Cardozo (87'), Ackah (90+3')
Nov 10, 2019 9pm
Boavista
0-1
Porto

Fabiano (55'), Dulanto (70'), Marlon (87')
Telles (9')
Marcano (44')