MX23RW : Wednesday, December 11 22:47:51| >> :60:105:105:
Porto
Portuguese Super Cup | Final
Jul 30, 2022 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Tondela

Porto
3 - 0
Tondela

Taremi (30', 82'), Evanilson (33')
Uribe (60'), Grujic (64'), Taremi (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Khacef (37'), Barbosa (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Portuguese Super Cup clash between Porto and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

Last Six:
    Last Game: Porto 2-1 Monaco
    Saturday, July 23 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1

    Tondela

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
      Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal

      We said: Porto 3-0 Tondela

       While Tondela will be looking to cause the first major upset of the 2022-23 Portuguese campaign, they have struggled for results against Porto, losing each of their last 13 meetings since 2016. Conceicao's men head into the weekend with a new-look squad, but they are capable of coming away with the desired results. Therefore, we predict a one-sided contest with the Dragoes claiming the title in 90 minutes against the CDT Auriverdes, who are winless in 11 consecutive games across all competitions. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 80.38%. A draw has a probability of 12.8% and a win for Tondela has a probability of 6.85%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (10.96%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.01%), while for a Tondela win it is 0-1 (2.16%).

      Result
      PortoDrawTondela
      80.38% (0.374 0.37) 12.76% (-0.214 -0.21) 6.85% (-0.164 -0.16)
      Both teams to score 47.5% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      67.64% (0.431 0.43)32.35% (-0.437 -0.44)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      46.02% (0.501 0.5)53.97% (-0.506 -0.51)
      Porto Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      93.79% (0.157 0.16)6.21% (-0.162 -0.16)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      76.53% (0.444 0.44)23.46% (-0.448 -0.45)
      Tondela Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      50.65% (-0.12 -0.12)49.34% (0.116 0.12)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      15.8% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)84.2% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
      Score Analysis
          Porto 80.38%
          Tondela 6.85%
          Draw 12.76%
      PortoDrawTondela
      2-0 @ 11.83% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
      3-0 @ 10.96% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
      1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.12 -0.12)
      2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
      3-1 @ 7.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
      4-0 @ 7.62% (0.104 0.1)
      4-1 @ 5.38% (0.056 0.06)
      5-0 @ 4.23% (0.097 0.1)
      5-1 @ 2.99% (0.058 0.06)
      3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
      6-0 @ 1.96% (0.062 0.06)
      4-2 @ 1.9% (0.014 0.01)
      6-1 @ 1.39% (0.039 0.04)
      5-2 @ 1.06% (0.017 0.02)
      Other @ 3.72%
      Total : 80.38%
      		1-1 @ 6.01% (-0.105 -0.11)
      0-0 @ 3.06% (-0.073 -0.07)
      2-2 @ 2.95% (-0.034 -0.03)
      Other @ 0.73%
      Total : 12.76%
      		0-1 @ 2.16% (-0.058 -0.06)
      1-2 @ 2.12% (-0.044 -0.04)
      Other @ 2.56%
      Total : 6.85%

      How you voted: Porto vs Tondela

      Porto
      79.2%
      Draw
      12.5%
      Tondela
      8.3%
      24
      Head to Head
      May 22, 2022 5.15pm
      Porto
      3-1
      Tondela
      Taremi (22' pen., 74'), Vitinha (52')
      Grujic (77'), Conceicao (86')
      Borges (73')
      Alves (17'), Barbosa (83')
      Mar 13, 2022 6pm
      Porto
      4-0
      Tondela
      Taremi (45' pen.), Galeno (73'), Vieira (76'), Conceicao (79')
      Wendell (36')

      Borges (3'), Hernando (33')
      Hernando (66')
      Oct 23, 2021 6pm
      Tondela
      1-3
      Porto
      Borges (4')
      Sagnan (11'), Pedro (23')
      Undabarrena (28')
      Taremi (19', 43', 79')
      Evanilson (14'), Uribe (44'), Pepe (54'), Otavio (73')
      Apr 10, 2021 6pm
      Tondela
      0-2
      Porto

      Grau (39'), Medioub (48'), Bebeto (58'), Martinez (88')
      Martinez (19'), Taremi (83')
      Otavio (60')
      Dec 5, 2020 8.30pm
      Porto
      4-3
      Tondela
      Sanusi (4'), Marega (36', 48'), Taremi (56')
      Uribe (40'), Evanilson (79')
      Uribe (90+3')
      Gonzalez (20', 74'), Barbosa (33')
      Medioub (39'), Augusto (62'), Mendes (79'), Grau (83'), Martinez (90+1')
      rhs 2.0
      Today's games header
      > View full version> Yesterday's results
      Tables header RHS
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      1Liverpool14112129111835
      2Chelsea1594235181731
      3Arsenal1585229151429
      4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
      5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
      6Aston Villa157442323025
      7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
      8Bournemouth157352320324
      9Brentford157263128323
      10Fulham156542220223
      11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
      12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
      13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
      14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
      15Everton143561421-714
      16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
      17Crystal Palace152761420-613
      18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
      19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
      20Southampton1512121131-205
      > Premier League Full Table


      Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
      Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!