Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34

May 14, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio do Dragão

Porto
2 - 0
Estoril

Joaozinho (48' og.), Fernando (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

Last Six:

Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Porto	34	64	91
2	Sporting Lisbon	33	47	82
3	Benfica	33	47	71

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 83.4%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 5.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.74%) and 1-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.5%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (1.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Estoril Praia
83.4% ( 2.31)	11.58% ( -1.22)	5.02% ( -1.08)

Both teams to score 39.97% (

-2.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.76% (

0.96)

35.25% (

-0.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.74% (

1.07)

57.26% (

-1.07)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.8% (

0.66)

6.21% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.54% (

1.8)

23.46% (

-1.8)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.62% (

-2.96)

57.38% (

2.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.75% (

-1.72)

89.26% (

1.73)

Score Analysis

Porto 83.39%

Estoril Praia 5.02%

Draw 11.58%

Porto	Draw	Estoril Praia
2-0 @ 13.75% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 12.74% ( 0.77) 1-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.84) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.52) 3-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.21) 5-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.63) 4-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.12) 6-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.36) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.25) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.12) 6-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.1) 7-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.05% Total : 83.39%	1-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.59) 0-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.36) Other @ 0.4% Total : 11.58%	0-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.33) Other @ 1.51% Total : 5.02%