| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
| 14 | Vizela | 33 | -18 | 33 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
| 14 | Vizela | 33 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Vizela |
| 41.67% | 26.54% | 31.79% |
| Both teams to score 51.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.8% | 53.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.24% | 74.76% |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.79% | 25.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.05% | 59.95% |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% | 31.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.6% | 67.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% 2-1 @ 8.69% 2-0 @ 7.44% 3-1 @ 3.99% 3-0 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.45% Total : 41.66% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 7.84% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 9.16% 1-2 @ 7.37% 0-2 @ 5.35% 1-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 2.98% Total : 31.79% |