| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
| 14 | Vizela | 33 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
| 12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Famalicao |
| 39.01% | 27.71% | 33.27% |
| Both teams to score 48.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.6% | 57.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.79% | 78.21% |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.37% | 28.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.57% | 64.43% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.79% | 32.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.3% | 68.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 11.53% 2-1 @ 8.17% 2-0 @ 7.21% 3-1 @ 3.41% 3-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1.07% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.74% Total : 39.01% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.22% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.71% | 0-1 @ 10.44% 1-2 @ 7.4% 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.27% |