Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Moreirense |
| 48.98% | 27.82% | 23.2% |
| Both teams to score 42.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.83% | 62.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.13% | 81.86% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.37% | 25.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.47% | 60.52% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.93% | 43.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.65% | 79.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 15.02% 2-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 8.62% 3-0 @ 4.64% 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-1 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.99% Total : 48.97% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 11.03% 2-2 @ 3.63% Other @ 0.5% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 9.3% 1-2 @ 5.33% 0-2 @ 3.92% 1-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1.1% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.03% Total : 23.2% |