Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21

Feb 7, 2022 at 9.15pm UK

Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
4 - 1
Belenenses

Yan (18'), Santos (43'), Luis (68'), Lacerda (88')
Martins (32'), Lacerda (89')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Camara (25')
Ndour (39')
Ndour (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Belenenses, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Belenenses
42.28%	28.02%	29.69%

Both teams to score 46.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.57%

59.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.2%

79.8%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.23%

27.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.65%

63.35%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.13%

35.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.36%

72.64%

Score Analysis

Moreirense 42.28%

Belenenses 29.69%

Draw 28.02%

Moreirense	Draw	Belenenses
1-0 @ 12.76% 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-0 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.79% Total : 42.28%	1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.96% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.02%	0-1 @ 10.21% 1-2 @ 6.71% 0-2 @ 5.24% 1-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 1.99% Total : 29.69%