Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18

Jan 15, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio da Luz

Benfica
1 - 1
Moreirense

Nunez (65')
Silva (55'), Otamendi (86'), Grimaldo (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gilberto (61' og.)
Pacheco (40'), Martins (45+1'), Paulinho (72'), Jorge (89'), Kewin (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.7%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 7.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.71%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.82%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Moreirense
77.7%	14.37%	7.94%

Both teams to score 46.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.74%

36.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.61%

58.39%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.42%

7.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.86%

27.15%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.61%

49.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.77%

84.23%

Score Analysis

Benfica 77.69%

Moreirense 7.94%

Draw 14.37%

Benfica	Draw	Moreirense
2-0 @ 12.46% 3-0 @ 10.71% 1-0 @ 9.66% 2-1 @ 8.79% 3-1 @ 7.56% 4-0 @ 6.91% 4-1 @ 4.87% 5-0 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.67% 5-1 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 1.72% 6-0 @ 1.53% 6-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.64% Total : 77.69%	1-1 @ 6.82% 0-0 @ 3.75% 2-2 @ 3.1% Other @ 0.7% Total : 14.37%	0-1 @ 2.64% 1-2 @ 2.4% 0-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.96% Total : 7.94%