Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boavista in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Moreirense |
| 39.62% | 28.84% | 31.54% |
| Both teams to score 44.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.3% | 61.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.48% | 81.51% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.62% | 30.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.42% | 66.58% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.3% | 35.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.53% | 72.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 12.92% 2-1 @ 7.93% 2-0 @ 7.7% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 1.62% 4-1 @ 0.94% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.4% Total : 39.62% | 1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 10.84% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.83% | 0-1 @ 11.17% 1-2 @ 6.85% 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.03% Total : 31.54% |