Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 9, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio da Luz

Benfica
2 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira

Mario (45+5'), Grimaldo (75')
Otamendi (25'), Bernardo (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fonseca (45+2'), Antunes (57'), Djalo (90')
Denilson (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 74.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 9.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.06%) and 3-0 (10.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
74.65%	16.2%	9.15%

Both teams to score 45.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.08%

40.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.69%

63.31%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.62%

9.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.42%

31.58%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.18%

49.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.46%

84.54%

Score Analysis

Benfica 74.63%

Pacos de Ferreira 9.15%

Draw 16.2%

Benfica	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
2-0 @ 13.08% 1-0 @ 11.06% 3-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 9.12% 3-1 @ 7.2% 4-0 @ 6.11% 4-1 @ 4.26% 5-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.51% 5-1 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.48% 6-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.45% Total : 74.63%	1-1 @ 7.71% 0-0 @ 4.67% 2-2 @ 3.18% Other @ 0.65% Total : 16.2%	0-1 @ 3.26% 1-2 @ 2.68% 0-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.08% Total : 9.15%