Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.