Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 28.29% | 26.28% | 45.43% |
| Both teams to score 50.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.38% | 53.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.88% | 75.12% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.15% | 33.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.48% | 70.52% |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.47% | 23.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.42% | 57.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 8.63% 2-1 @ 6.76% 2-0 @ 4.67% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 1.77% 3-0 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.33% Total : 28.29% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.97% 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 11.52% 1-2 @ 9.03% 0-2 @ 8.34% 1-3 @ 4.36% 0-3 @ 4.02% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.58% 0-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.77% Total : 45.42% |