Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Famalicao |
| 28.65% | 27.37% | 43.97% |
| Both teams to score 47.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.45% | 57.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.67% | 78.33% |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.33% | 35.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.56% | 72.43% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74% | 26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.98% | 61.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 9.56% 2-1 @ 6.64% 2-0 @ 4.93% 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 1.69% 3-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.01% Total : 28.65% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 9.27% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 12.49% 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-2 @ 8.41% 1-3 @ 3.9% 0-3 @ 3.78% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.97% |