Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Dec 5, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal
Braga2 - 0Estoril
We said: Braga 1-1 Estoril Praia
Neither team have been strangers to recording a draw this season, and we cannot back against that outcome for this fixture. While Estoril would be the happier of the two sides, Braga would not say not to avoiding defeat against the surprise package. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 17.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 58.99% | 23.21% | 17.79% |
| Both teams to score 47.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
