Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 17.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 58.99% | 23.21% | 17.79% |
| Both teams to score 47.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.38% | 51.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.59% | 73.41% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.8% | 17.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.53% | 47.47% |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.19% | 42.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.87% | 79.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 12.96% 2-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 6.7% 3-1 @ 5.68% 4-0 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.06% 5-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.62% Total : 58.98% | 1-1 @ 10.99% 0-0 @ 7.36% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.75% Total : 23.21% | 0-1 @ 6.25% 1-2 @ 4.66% 0-2 @ 2.65% 1-3 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.76% Total : 17.79% |