Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.81%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Estoril Praia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Belenenses | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 20.16% | 24.63% | 55.21% |
| Both teams to score 47.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.03% | 53.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.58% | 75.42% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.52% | 41.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.02% | 77.98% |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.52% | 19.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.66% | 51.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Belenenses | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 7.11% 2-1 @ 5.12% 2-0 @ 3.13% 3-1 @ 1.5% 3-2 @ 1.23% 3-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.16% Total : 20.16% | 1-1 @ 11.63% 0-0 @ 8.08% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 13.21% 0-2 @ 10.81% 1-2 @ 9.51% 0-3 @ 5.9% 1-3 @ 5.19% 0-4 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 2.12% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.84% Total : 55.2% |