Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 67.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 12.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.93%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Braga in this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Moreirense |
| 67.96% | 19.78% | 12.26% |
| Both teams to score 44.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.93% | 48.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.76% | 70.23% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.87% | 13.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.2% | 39.79% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.48% | 48.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.39% | 83.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Moreirense |
| 2-0 @ 13.13% 1-0 @ 12.93% 2-1 @ 9.5% 3-0 @ 8.89% 3-1 @ 6.43% 4-0 @ 4.51% 4-1 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.32% 5-0 @ 1.83% 5-1 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.66% Total : 67.96% | 1-1 @ 9.36% 0-0 @ 6.37% 2-2 @ 3.43% Other @ 0.61% Total : 19.78% | 0-1 @ 4.61% 1-2 @ 3.38% 0-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.6% Total : 12.26% |