Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 71.07%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 10.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.74%) and 3-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.