Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 13.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-2 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Famalicao |
| 68.82% | 17.81% | 13.37% |
| Both teams to score 54.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.61% | 36.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.47% | 58.54% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.41% | 9.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.91% | 32.09% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.7% | 39.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.99% | 76.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Famalicao |
| 2-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 8.84% 3-0 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 7.56% 4-0 @ 4.74% 4-1 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 3.53% 5-0 @ 2.22% 5-1 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 2.07% 5-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 4.24% Total : 68.82% | 1-1 @ 8.26% 2-2 @ 4.52% 0-0 @ 3.77% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.81% | 1-2 @ 3.86% 0-1 @ 3.52% 0-2 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.41% 1-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.75% Total : 13.37% |