Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 23, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Famalicao logo

Porto
3 - 1
Famalicao

Otavio (25'), Diaz (37'), Taremi (78' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Riccieli (90+1')
Riccieli (38'), Pepe (68'), De La Fuente (80'), Amarildo (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 13.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-2 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawFamalicao
68.82%17.81%13.37%
Both teams to score 54.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.61%36.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.47%58.54%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.41%9.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.91%32.09%
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.7%39.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.99%76.01%
Score Analysis
    Porto 68.82%
    Famalicao 13.37%
    Draw 17.81%
PortoDrawFamalicao
2-0 @ 10.36%
2-1 @ 9.68%
1-0 @ 8.84%
3-0 @ 8.1%
3-1 @ 7.56%
4-0 @ 4.74%
4-1 @ 4.43%
3-2 @ 3.53%
5-0 @ 2.22%
5-1 @ 2.08%
4-2 @ 2.07%
5-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 68.82%
1-1 @ 8.26%
2-2 @ 4.52%
0-0 @ 3.77%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 17.81%
1-2 @ 3.86%
0-1 @ 3.52%
0-2 @ 1.65%
2-3 @ 1.41%
1-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 13.37%

How you voted: Porto vs Famalicao

Porto
100%
Draw
0.0%
Famalicao
0.0%
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