Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 53.49%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 19.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 53.49% | 26.79% | 19.72% |
| Both teams to score 40.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.21% | 61.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.42% | 81.58% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% | 23.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.63% | 57.37% |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.46% | 46.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.87% | 82.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 1-0 @ 15.81% 2-0 @ 11.48% 2-1 @ 8.79% 3-0 @ 5.56% 3-1 @ 4.26% 4-0 @ 2.02% 3-2 @ 1.63% 4-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.39% Total : 53.48% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 10.88% 2-2 @ 3.36% Other @ 0.45% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 8.33% 1-2 @ 4.63% 0-2 @ 3.18% 1-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.41% Total : 19.72% |