Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 6, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio D Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
2 - 1
Famalicao

Estupinan (45+1'), Rochinha (47')
Silva (4'), Semedo (34'), Lameiras (65'), Soares (74'), Almeida (88')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pepe (6')
Batubinsika (37'), Tavares (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

Last Six:

Last Game: Famalicao 3-2 Braga
Sunday, May 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Pacos de Ferreira	34	-15	38
12	Famalicao	33	-7	36
13	Estoril Praia	33	-9	36

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.24%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Famalicao
51.24%	23.9%	24.86%

Both teams to score 55.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.77%

46.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.48%

68.52%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.94%

18.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.03%

48.97%

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.33%

32.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.78%

69.22%

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 51.23%

Famalicao 24.86%

Draw 23.9%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 9.67% 2-0 @ 8.64% 3-1 @ 5.52% 3-0 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.51% Total : 51.23%	1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 5.9% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.9%	0-1 @ 6.6% 1-2 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 3.69% 1-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.5% Total : 24.86%