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Nacional
Porto
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Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 5, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio D Afonso Henriques
Braga

Guimaraes
2 - 1
Braga

Estupinan (18'), Luz (90')
Silva (3'), Estupinan (29'), Handel (43'), Fernandes (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Oliveira (48')
Rodrigues (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Braga had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawBraga
39.83%24.75%35.41%
Both teams to score 58.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.35%44.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.99%67.01%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.65%22.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.16%55.84%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.33%24.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.8%59.2%
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 39.83%
    Braga 35.41%
    Draw 24.75%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawBraga
2-1 @ 8.66%
1-0 @ 8.26%
2-0 @ 6.19%
3-1 @ 4.33%
3-0 @ 3.09%
3-2 @ 3.03%
4-1 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.16%
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 39.83%
1-1 @ 11.56%
2-2 @ 6.06%
0-0 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.75%
1-2 @ 8.09%
0-1 @ 7.72%
0-2 @ 5.4%
1-3 @ 3.77%
2-3 @ 2.83%
0-3 @ 2.52%
1-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 35.41%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Braga

Vitoria de Guimaraes
11.1%
Draw
11.1%
Braga
77.8%
9
rhs 2.0


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