Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Braga had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Braga |
39.83% | 24.75% | 35.41% |
Both teams to score 58.49% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.35% | 44.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.99% | 67.01% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.65% | 22.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.16% | 55.84% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.33% | 24.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.8% | 59.2% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Braga |
2-1 @ 8.66% 1-0 @ 8.26% 2-0 @ 6.19% 3-1 @ 4.33% 3-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 3.03% 4-1 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.16% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.36% Total : 39.83% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.75% | 1-2 @ 8.09% 0-1 @ 7.72% 0-2 @ 5.4% 1-3 @ 3.77% 2-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 75 | 25 | 50 | 65 |
2 | Benfica | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 64 |
3 | Porto | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 58 |
4 | Braga | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 34 | 21 | 53 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 50 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 42 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 34 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 28 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 28 |
11 | Casa Pia | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 27 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 27 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 25 |
15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 23 |
17 | Vizela | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 21 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 56 | -31 | 19 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |