| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
| 12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
| 7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 |
| 8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 18.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 57.46% | 24.12% | 18.42% |
| Both teams to score 45.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.81% | 54.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.4% | 75.6% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.3% | 18.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.95% | 50.05% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.43% | 43.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.23% | 79.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 13.66% 2-0 @ 11.45% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 6.4% 3-1 @ 5.32% 4-0 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.07% Total : 57.46% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 0-0 @ 8.15% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.67% Total : 24.11% | 0-1 @ 6.77% 1-2 @ 4.72% 0-2 @ 2.81% 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.73% Total : 18.42% |