| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
| 12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 71.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 11.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 1-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-2 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Famalicao |
| 71.78% | 16.76% | 11.46% |
| Both teams to score 52.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.63% | 36.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.5% | 58.5% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.1% | 8.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.56% | 30.44% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.69% | 42.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.3% | 78.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Famalicao |
| 2-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 9.48% 1-0 @ 9.11% 3-0 @ 8.89% 3-1 @ 7.64% 4-0 @ 5.37% 4-1 @ 4.62% 3-2 @ 3.29% 5-0 @ 2.6% 5-1 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 1.99% 6-0 @ 1.05% 5-2 @ 0.96% 6-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.62% Total : 71.77% | 1-1 @ 7.84% 2-2 @ 4.08% 0-0 @ 3.77% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.76% | 1-2 @ 3.37% 0-1 @ 3.24% 0-2 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1.17% 1-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.32% Total : 11.46% |