Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Benfica |
26.97% ( -1.9) | 24.33% ( -0.55) | 48.71% ( 2.45) |
Both teams to score 55.77% ( 0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.63% ( 1.16) | 46.37% ( -1.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.35% ( 1.08) | 68.65% ( -1.08) |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.94% ( -0.81) | 31.06% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.62% ( -0.96) | 67.38% ( 0.96) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.89% ( 1.49) | 19.11% ( -1.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.27% ( 2.41) | 50.73% ( -2.41) |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.51) 2-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.4) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.89% Total : 26.97% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.35) 1-3 @ 5.24% ( 0.35) 0-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.39) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.24) 0-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.24) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.16% Total : 48.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 8 | 32 | 33 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 11 |
15 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
16 | Nacional | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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