Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.