Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29

Apr 9, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio da Luz

Benfica
3 - 1
Belenenses

Nunez (22', 54', 58')
Lazaro (88')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sousa (3')
Calila (33'), Sithole (45+1'), Camacho (48'), Tavares (69'), Varela (77'), Lica (85'), Henriques (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Belenenses, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

Last Six:

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Benfica
Friday, May 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Sporting Lisbon	33	47	82
3	Benfica	33	47	71
4	Braga	32	20	62

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 75.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 8.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.42%) and 3-0 (10.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Belenenses
75.65%	15.54%	8.81%

Both teams to score 46.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.08%

38.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.76%

61.24%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.35%

8.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.17%

29.83%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.77%

49.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.88%

84.12%

Score Analysis

Benfica 75.63%

Belenenses 8.81%

Draw 15.54%

Benfica	Draw	Belenenses
2-0 @ 12.75% 1-0 @ 10.42% 3-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 7.38% 4-0 @ 6.37% 4-1 @ 4.51% 5-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.61% 5-1 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.6% 6-0 @ 1.27% 6-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.04% Total : 75.63%	1-1 @ 7.39% 0-0 @ 4.26% 2-2 @ 3.2% Other @ 0.69% Total : 15.54%	0-1 @ 3.02% 1-2 @ 2.62% 0-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.1% Total : 8.81%