Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
17 | Tondela | 34 | -26 | 28 |
18 | Belenenses | 34 | -32 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 75.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 8.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.42%) and 3-0 (10.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Belenenses |
75.65% | 15.54% | 8.81% |
Both teams to score 46.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.08% | 38.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.76% | 61.24% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.35% | 8.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.17% | 29.83% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.77% | 49.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.88% | 84.12% |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Belenenses |
2-0 @ 12.75% 1-0 @ 10.42% 3-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 7.38% 4-0 @ 6.37% 4-1 @ 4.51% 5-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.61% 5-1 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.6% 6-0 @ 1.27% 6-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.04% Total : 75.63% | 1-1 @ 7.39% 0-0 @ 4.26% 2-2 @ 3.2% Other @ 0.69% Total : 15.54% | 0-1 @ 3.02% 1-2 @ 2.62% 0-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.1% Total : 8.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
11 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
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