Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34

May 14, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal

Arouca
0 - 0
Belenenses

Esgaio (24'), Simao (54')

Akas (84'), Camara (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Belenenses, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

Last Six:

Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Vizela	33	-18	33
15	Arouca	33	-22	31
16	Moreirense	33	-17	29

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Belenenses
45.96% ( -0.77)	26.73% ( 0.18)	27.31% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 48.61% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.15% (

-0.33)

55.85% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.03% (

-0.27)

76.97% (

0.27)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.74% (

-0.51)

24.26% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.38% (

-0.73)

58.62% (

0.73)

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.18% (

0.31)

35.82% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.4% (

0.31)

72.6% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Arouca 45.95%

Belenenses 27.31%

Draw 26.73%

Arouca	Draw	Belenenses
1-0 @ 12.3% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.52% Total : 45.95%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.73%	0-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.97% Total : 27.31%