Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33

May 8, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal

Braga
1 - 0
Arouca

Horta (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nunes (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

Last Six:

Last Game: Famalicao 3-2 Braga
Sunday, May 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Benfica	33	47	71
4	Braga	32	20	62
5	Gil Vicente	33	10	51

Arouca

Last Six:

Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Vizela	33	-18	33
15	Arouca	33	-22	31
16	Moreirense	33	-17	29

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 17.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braga in this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Arouca
60.57% ( 0.15)	22.23% ( -0.06)	17.2% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 49.18% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.42% (

0.13)

48.59% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.29% (

0.12)

70.71% (

-0.12)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.4% (

0.09)

15.6% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.42% (

0.18)

44.58% (

-0.17)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.27% (

-0.03)

41.74% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.8% (

-0.02)

78.2% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Braga 60.56%

Arouca 17.2%

Draw 22.22%

Braga	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 12.09% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 60.56%	1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 22.22%	0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 17.2%