Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34

May 15, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
3 - 2
Braga

Banza (43', 89'), Rodrigues (80')
Pickel (12'), Pepe (38'), Banza (90')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Horta (1'), Oliveira (19')
Elmusrati (12'), Carmo (35'), Tormena (59')
Carmo (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

Last Six:

Last Game: Famalicao 3-2 Braga
Sunday, May 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Pacos de Ferreira	34	-15	38
12	Famalicao	33	-7	36
13	Estoril Praia	33	-9	36

Braga

Last Six:

Last Game: Famalicao 3-2 Braga
Sunday, May 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Benfica	33	47	71
4	Braga	32	20	62
5	Gil Vicente	33	10	51

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Braga had a probability of 35.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Braga
37.43% ( 0.71)	27.23% ( -0.03)	35.34% ( -0.68)

Both teams to score 50.14% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.67% (

0.08)

55.33% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.46% (

0.07)

76.54% (

-0.07)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.45% (

0.47)

28.55% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.66% (

0.58)

64.34% (

-0.58)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.17% (

-0.38)

29.83% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.09% (

-0.46)

65.91% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 37.43%

Braga 35.33%

Draw 27.23%

Famalicao	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.69% Total : 37.43%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.23%	0-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.4% Total : 35.33%