Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33

May 9, 2022 at 8.15pm UK

Estádio do Restelo

Belenenses
2 - 3
Famalicao

Alex (44' og.), Baraye (90+3')
Tavares (26'), Sousa (90+2'), Carraca (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Marin (67'), Rodrigues (76'), Pepe (90+5')
Banza (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

Last Six:

Last Game: Famalicao 3-2 Braga
Sunday, May 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Pacos de Ferreira	34	-15	38
12	Famalicao	33	-7	36
13	Estoril Praia	33	-9	36

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
Belenenses	Draw	Famalicao
29.22% ( 2.46)	26.24% ( 0.19)	44.54% ( -2.65)

Both teams to score 51.27% (

1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.01% (

0.6)

52.98% (

-0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.42% (

0.51)

74.58% (

-0.51)

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.18% (

2.24)

32.81% (

-2.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.62% (

2.42)

69.38% (

-2.42)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.31% (

-0.98)

23.68% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.2% (

-1.44)

57.8% (

1.44)

Score Analysis

Belenenses 29.22%

Famalicao 44.54%

Draw 26.24%

Belenenses	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.26) Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.22%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.24%	0-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.61) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.69) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.77% Total : 44.54%