MX23RW : Thursday, April 25 22:45:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Belenenses
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 9, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio do Restelo
Famalicao logo

Belenenses
2 - 3
Famalicao

Alex (44' og.), Baraye (90+3')
Tavares (26'), Sousa (90+2'), Carraca (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Marin (67'), Rodrigues (76'), Pepe (90+5')
Banza (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Belenenses 2-1 Famalicao

Needing a win to keep their survival hopes alive, we expect Belenenses to come out with guns blazing on Monday and take the game to the visitors. Famalicao's struggles for results on the road make the hosts slight favourites and we predict O Belem will take the positives from their defeat to Braga and grind out the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
BelenensesDrawFamalicao
29.22% (2.459 2.46) 26.24% (0.192 0.19) 44.54% (-2.652 -2.65)
Both teams to score 51.27% (1.075 1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.01% (0.603 0.6)52.98% (-0.605 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.42% (0.513 0.51)74.58% (-0.514 -0.51)
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.18% (2.242 2.24)32.81% (-2.244 -2.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.62% (2.424 2.42)69.38% (-2.424 -2.42)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31% (-0.982 -0.98)23.68% (0.981 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2% (-1.435 -1.44)57.8% (1.435 1.44)
Score Analysis
    Belenenses 29.22%
    Famalicao 44.54%
    Draw 26.24%
BelenensesDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 8.66% (0.318 0.32)
2-1 @ 6.95% (0.467 0.47)
2-0 @ 4.83% (0.453 0.45)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.317 0.32)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.18 0.18)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.264 0.26)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.22%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.187 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.2 0.2)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 11.19% (-0.61 -0.61)
1-2 @ 8.98% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-2 @ 8.06% (-0.687 -0.69)
1-3 @ 4.31% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-3 @ 3.87% (-0.453 -0.45)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.209 -0.21)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 44.54%

How you voted: Belenenses vs Famalicao

Belenenses
50.0%
Draw
24.0%
Famalicao
26.0%
50
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2022 6pm
Feb 12, 2021 8.30pm
Famalicao
0-0
Belenenses

Verdonk (45'), Rodrigues (49'), Pepe (84')

Varela (22'), Esgaio (58'), Phete (69'), Ramires (90+3')
Sep 28, 2020 7.45pm
Belenenses
1-2
Famalicao
Cassierra (42')
Phete (25'), Esgaio (36'), Varela (62')
Riccieli (52'), Valenzuela (55')
Assuncao (15'), Patrick (90+1'), Campana Romero (90+3'), Silva (90+4'), Pereyra (90+5')
Mar 8, 2020 3pm
Sep 28, 2019 9.30pm
Famalicao
3-1
Belenenses
Pote (61'), Silva (80', 87')
Lionn (59'), Centelles (63')
Alexandre Sousa Esgaio (44')
Santos (29'), Dias (59')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30262287276080
2Benfica30234368244473
3Porto30195655243162
4Braga30195663412262
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30176745321357
6AroucaArouca301351251401144
7MoreirenseMoreirense30127113034-443
8FamalicaoFamalicao30812103338-536
9Casa Pia3088143043-1332
10SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
11Rio AveRio Ave3051693238-631
12Gil Vicente3087153748-1131
13BoavistaBoavista3079143556-2130
14Estoril PraiaEstoril3086164552-730
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3077163464-3028
17ChavesChaves3058173062-3223
18Vizela3049172962-3321


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