| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
| 12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 10 | 51 |
| 6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 44.27% | 26.78% | 28.95% |
| Both teams to score 49.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.8% | 55.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.56% | 76.44% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.21% | 24.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.63% | 59.37% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.83% | 34.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.13% | 70.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 11.81% 2-1 @ 8.85% 2-0 @ 8.24% 3-1 @ 4.11% 3-0 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.45% Total : 44.26% | 1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 8.47% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 9.1% 1-2 @ 6.81% 0-2 @ 4.88% 1-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.28% Total : 28.95% |