Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 2, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio Municipal

Arouca
2 - 1
Gil Vicente

Silva (55', 59')
Bukia (14'), Quaresma (34')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cunha (90+2')
Cunha (82'), Aouacheria (84'), Aburjania (89')
Aburjania (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

Last Six:

Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Vizela	33	-18	33
15	Arouca	33	-22	31
16	Moreirense	33	-17	29

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Gil Vicente
31%	27.26%	41.74%

Both teams to score 49.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.75%

56.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.71%

77.29%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.79%

33.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.18%

69.81%

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.43%

26.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.21%

61.78%

Score Analysis

Arouca 31%

Gil Vicente 41.74%

Draw 27.26%

Arouca	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 9.73% 2-1 @ 7.11% 2-0 @ 5.36% 3-1 @ 2.61% 3-0 @ 1.97% 3-2 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.49% Total : 31%	1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.82% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.26%	0-1 @ 11.69% 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-2 @ 7.75% 1-3 @ 3.78% 0-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.74%