Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Vizela | 33 | -18 | 33 |
15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 |
16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 10 | 51 |
6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | Gil Vicente |
31% | 27.26% | 41.74% |
Both teams to score 49.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.75% | 56.24% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.71% | 77.29% |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.79% | 33.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.18% | 69.81% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.43% | 26.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.21% | 61.78% |
Score Analysis |
Arouca | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 9.73% 2-1 @ 7.11% 2-0 @ 5.36% 3-1 @ 2.61% 3-0 @ 1.97% 3-2 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.49% Total : 31% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.82% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 11.69% 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-2 @ 7.75% 1-3 @ 3.78% 0-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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