Arouca vs Moreirense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 36.29%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.2%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (12.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.