Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.