| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 10 | 51 |
| 6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
| 11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
| 12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 57.53% | 23.67% | 18.8% |
| Both teams to score 47.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.26% | 73.73% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.14% | 17.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.38% | 48.62% |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.15% | 41.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.7% | 78.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 1-0 @ 12.87% 2-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 6.37% 3-1 @ 5.55% 4-0 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 2.39% 4-2 @ 1.04% 5-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.46% Total : 57.53% | 1-1 @ 11.21% 0-0 @ 7.47% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.77% Total : 23.66% | 0-1 @ 6.51% 1-2 @ 4.89% 0-2 @ 2.84% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.93% Total : 18.8% |