| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 10 | 51 |
| 6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 |
| 8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Boavista | 34 | -13 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 21.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Maritimo |
| 53.36% | 24.96% | 21.68% |
| Both teams to score 48.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.42% | 53.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.91% | 75.09% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.94% | 20.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.72% | 52.28% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.33% | 39.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.66% | 76.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 12.78% 2-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 9.49% 3-0 @ 5.5% 3-1 @ 5.08% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-0 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 2.04% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.69% Total : 53.35% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 7.36% 1-2 @ 5.47% 0-2 @ 3.4% 1-3 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 1.35% 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.37% Total : 21.68% |