Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 19, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
2 - 0
Belenenses

Jose Calero (68'), Santana (78')
Cunha (3'), Soares (45+2'), Bueno (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Calila (37'), Safira (42'), Henriques (50'), Carraca (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Belenenses, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Belenenses
51.02%	25.62%	23.36%

Both teams to score 48.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.52%

54.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.16%

75.84%

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.61%

21.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.63%

54.37%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.47%

38.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.72%

75.28%

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 51.01%

Belenenses 23.36%

Draw 25.62%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Belenenses
1-0 @ 12.7% 2-0 @ 9.8% 2-1 @ 9.35% 3-0 @ 5.04% 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-0 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.22% Total : 51.01%	1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 8.24% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 7.86% 1-2 @ 5.78% 0-2 @ 3.75% 1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.42% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.53% Total : 23.36%