Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Mar 19, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio João Cardoso

Tondela
2 - 2
Arouca

Quaresma (16'), Agra (45+4')
Sagnan (63')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Silva (4', 69')
Araujo (44'), Esgaio (51'), Simao (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tondela

Last Six:

Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Moreirense	33	-17	29
17	Tondela	34	-26	28
18	Belenenses	34	-32	26

Arouca

Last Six:

Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Vizela	33	-18	33
15	Arouca	33	-22	31
16	Moreirense	33	-17	29

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Tondela	Draw	Arouca
40.17%	26.34%	33.49%

Both teams to score 52.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.04%

51.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.29%

73.7%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.56%

25.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.74%

60.26%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.66%

29.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.69%

65.31%

Score Analysis

Tondela 40.16%

Arouca 33.49%

Draw 26.33%

Tondela	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 8.58% 2-0 @ 6.99% 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-0 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.45% Total : 40.16%	1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 7.46% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33%	0-1 @ 9.15% 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.49%