Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Estoril Praia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Tondela |
| 42.44% | 27.05% | 30.51% |
| Both teams to score 49.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.39% | 55.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.23% | 76.77% |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% | 25.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.1% | 60.9% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.77% | 33.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.16% | 69.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Tondela |
| 1-0 @ 11.62% 2-1 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 7.85% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.22% Total : 42.43% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.61% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 9.49% 1-2 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 5.23% 1-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.51% |