Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 8, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

Estoril
2 - 3
Porto

Arthur (38'), Franco (43' pen.)
Arthur (48'), Fonte (62'), Pinheiro (64'), Lourenco (81'), Franco (90+7')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Taremi (49'), Diaz (84'), Conceicao (89')
Conceicao (90+1'), Otavio (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 73.48%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 9.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.16%) and 0-3 (10.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Porto
9.43%	17.09%	73.48%

Both teams to score 43.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.85%

44.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.47%

66.53%

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.63%

51.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.41%

85.59%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.5%

10.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.83%

34.17%

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 9.43%

Porto 73.48%

Draw 17.09%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 3.59% 2-1 @ 2.7% 2-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.94% Total : 9.43%	1-1 @ 8.1% 0-0 @ 5.4% 2-2 @ 3.04% Other @ 0.56% Total : 17.09%	0-2 @ 13.7% 0-1 @ 12.16% 0-3 @ 10.29% 1-2 @ 9.13% 1-3 @ 6.86% 0-4 @ 5.8% 1-4 @ 3.86% 0-5 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 2.28% 1-5 @ 1.74% 2-4 @ 1.29% 0-6 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.78% Total : 73.48%