Tondela
Taca de Portugal | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 3, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio João Cardoso
Mafra

Tondela
3 - 0
Mafra

Dantas (38'), Hernando (66'), Borges (75')
Quaresma (34'), D'Almeida (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sousa (26'), Domingos (44'), Martins (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Taca de Portugal clash between Tondela and Mafra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Mafra had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Mafra win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tondela would win this match.

Result
TondelaDrawMafra
44.99%23.44%31.57%
Both teams to score 61.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.44%39.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.09%61.91%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.07%17.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.26%48.74%
Mafra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.51%24.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.05%58.94%
Score Analysis
    Tondela 44.99%
    Mafra 31.57%
    Draw 23.43%
TondelaDrawMafra
2-1 @ 9.13%
1-0 @ 7.55%
2-0 @ 6.49%
3-1 @ 5.23%
3-0 @ 3.72%
3-2 @ 3.68%
4-1 @ 2.25%
4-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 44.99%
1-1 @ 10.61%
2-2 @ 6.42%
0-0 @ 4.39%
3-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.43%
1-2 @ 7.47%
0-1 @ 6.18%
0-2 @ 4.35%
1-3 @ 3.5%
2-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.04%
1-4 @ 1.23%
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 31.57%

How you voted: Tondela vs Mafra

Tondela
44.9%
Draw
10.2%
Mafra
44.9%
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