Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 20, 2022 at 8.45pm UK

Estádio João Cardoso

Tondela
0 - 1
Braga

Bebeto (62'), Aviles (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Horta (57')
Magalhaes (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 53.46%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Tondela win was 1-0 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.

Result
Tondela	Draw	Braga
23.39%	23.15%	53.46%

Both teams to score 55.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.64%

44.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.27%

66.73%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.09%

32.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.51%

69.48%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.45%

16.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.68%

46.32%

Score Analysis

Tondela 23.39%

Braga 53.46%

Draw 23.14%

Tondela	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 6.05% 2-1 @ 6.05% 2-0 @ 3.36% 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.41% Total : 23.39%	1-1 @ 10.88% 0-0 @ 5.45% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.14%	0-1 @ 9.8% 1-2 @ 9.79% 0-2 @ 8.81% 1-3 @ 5.87% 0-3 @ 5.28% 2-3 @ 3.26% 1-4 @ 2.64% 0-4 @ 2.38% 2-4 @ 1.47% 1-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.46%