| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
| 12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Boavista | 34 | -13 | 38 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 54.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 20.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Boavista |
| 54.43% | 25.08% | 20.48% |
| Both teams to score 46.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.73% | 55.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.51% | 76.49% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.71% | 20.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.34% | 52.65% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.13% | 41.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.67% | 78.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 13.55% 2-0 @ 10.8% 2-1 @ 9.41% 3-0 @ 5.75% 3-1 @ 5% 4-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 2% Other @ 3.46% Total : 54.43% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 8.5% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.4% 1-2 @ 5.14% 0-2 @ 3.22% 1-3 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.19% 0-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.12% Total : 20.48% |