Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 16, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estadio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
4 - 0
Boavista

Costa (41'), Joel (45+3', 63' pen., 69')
Joel (21'), Costa (32'), Rossi (32'), Pelagio (55')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Perez (16'), Ferreira (45+1'), Musa (71'), De Santis (81'), Porozo (85')
Morais (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boavista

Last Six:

Last Game: Tondela 2-2 Boavista
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Maritimo	33	-3	38
9	Boavista	34	-13	38
10	Portimonense	34	-14	38

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Boavista
44.21%	27.1%	28.69%

Both teams to score 48.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.49%

56.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.5%

77.5%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.59%

25.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.78%

60.22%

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.93%

35.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.18%

71.82%

Score Analysis

Maritimo 44.2%

Boavista 28.69%

Draw 27.09%

Maritimo	Draw	Boavista
1-0 @ 12.2% 2-1 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 8.36% 3-1 @ 4% 3-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.28% Total : 44.2%	1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.91% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.09%	0-1 @ 9.34% 1-2 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 4.89% 1-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.11% Total : 28.69%