| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Boavista | 34 | -13 | 38 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 10 | 51 |
| 6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
| 7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 30.4% | 26.82% | 42.77% |
| Both teams to score 50.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.22% | 54.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.91% | 76.09% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.12% | 32.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.55% | 69.45% |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.64% | 25.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.85% | 60.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 9.27% 2-1 @ 7.08% 2-0 @ 5.16% 3-1 @ 2.62% 3-0 @ 1.91% 3-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.4% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.34% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 11.43% 1-2 @ 8.73% 0-2 @ 7.85% 1-3 @ 3.99% 0-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.36% Total : 42.77% |