| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 |
| 16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | -26 | 28 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Boavista | 34 | -13 | 38 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Boavista |
| 46.04% | 26.39% | 27.56% |
| Both teams to score 49.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.56% | 54.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.2% | 75.8% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% | 23.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.33% | 57.67% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.14% | 34.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.4% | 71.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 11.87% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 8.58% 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-0 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.72% Total : 46.04% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 8.23% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 8.67% 1-2 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 4.57% 1-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.13% Total : 27.56% |