Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34

May 14, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
4 - 1
Vizela

Mane (8'), Jorge (16'), Lacerda (30'), Yan (66')
Amador (34'), Pacheco (75'), Conceicao (90+2')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Paulo (90+3')
Ofori (36'), Anderson (64'), Juliao (71')
Fernandes (3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Vizela
44.52% ( 0.43)	26.05% ( -0.01)	29.43% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 51.97% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.86% (

-0.15)

52.14% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.14% (

-0.13)

73.86% (

0.13)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.67% (

0.14)

23.33% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.72% (

0.21)

57.28% (

-0.2)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.78% (

-0.39)

32.22% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.29% (

-0.44)

68.71% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Moreirense 44.51%

Vizela 29.43%

Draw 26.05%

Moreirense	Draw	Vizela
1-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 44.51%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.68% Total : 29.43%